hillary clinton could become the first democrat since her husband to win the vote of married women on election day -- a massive demographic realignment that would likely spell the end of donald trump<u+2019>s white house ambitions. the likelihood of that outcome was given a major boost friday evening, when a video posted by the washington post showed trump bragging about trying to <u+201c>f--k<u+201d> an unnamed married woman and trying to <u+201c>move on her like a bitch.<u+201d> the video was recorded on sept. 16, 2005, on a bus on his way to a cameo on <u+201c>days of our lives,<u+201d> just eight months after he married his third wife, melania. story continued below four years ago, mitt romney won 53 percent of married women. and in 2008, john mccain also won married women 53 to 47 percent. democrats have not won married women since bill clinton won them in 1996, 41 to 40 percent against bob dole in a three-way race. by gabriel debenedetti <u+201c>he can pivot off of what he said about miss universe, but i think the coffin is sealed with this demographic,<u+201d> said jill hanauer, president and ceo of project new america, referring to disparaging comments trump has made about alicia machado, a former pageant queen who gained weight after winning. <u+201c>i don<u+2019>t see the math working.<u+201d> trump cannot afford any erosion with married women -- and it<u+2019>s not clear he can make up the ground he would lose there with any other demographic group. clinton is winning non-white voters 63 to 18 percent, according to a quinnipiac university poll released friday. clinton leads with millennials by a greater than 2-to-1 margin, her campaign has said. but the video released friday is likely to lead to erosion. caught on tape, trump is heard bragging that because he is a celebrity, he can take advantage of women. <u+201c>and when you<u+2019>re a star, they let you do it,<u+201d> trump says. <u+201c>you can do anything.<u+201d> by nolan d. mccaskill he adds: "grab them by the p--y. you can do anything." <u+201c>this is so disqualifying on so many levels,<u+201d> said page gardner, founder and president of the non-profit, non-partisan voter participation center. <u+201c>white, married women have been a key problem for democrats over the course of time -- they<u+2019>re more settled, they<u+2019>re more conservative. i think this moves the needle, really among white, married women.<u+201d> clinton is already winning women overall. in the latest quinnipiac university poll, she held a 20-point advantage among women, 53 to 33 percent. trump was winning men 49 to 37 percent. but gardner, an expert in women<u+2019>s voting patterns, predicted the video would inflict massive damage to trump. <u+201c>married women have a bigger share of the electorate, and to the extent that she can decrease his margin among those voters it is game over,<u+201d> gardner said. <u+201c>my view is that you have this notion of a guy that wants to turn the white house into a locker room for men who have not gotten past high school. every woman gets that story.<u+201d> even before the release of the profane video, the clinton campaign has been focusing on making inroads with white, suburban women -- most of whom are married -- in states like north carolina, pennsylvania, colorado, and ohio through ads about bullying. 2016 by burgess everett and seung min kim last week, for instance, clinton participated in a town hall in haverford, pennsylvania, one of philadelphia<u+2019>s <u+201c>collar counties<u+201d> where she tried to appeal to white, suburban mothers by appearing with her daughter, chelsea, by her side. democratic surrogates for clinton on friday were quick to denounce trump's comments in the video. "when we talk about rape culture, this is precisely what we mean," new york city council speaker melissa mark-viverito, a top latina clinton surrogate, said in a statement. "donald trump feels he is entitled to women's bodies just because he is famous. it's disgusting and violating." trump<u+2019>s campaign has tried to shore up the female vote with the help of surrogates like his daughter, ivanka. ivanka has helped her father craft policies that would lower child-care costs and guarantee six weeks of paid maternity leave to some working women. "i'm not in every interaction my father has, but he's not a groper," ivanka trump said in an interview with cbs new in march, in response to a new york times report about his treatment of women. on friday evening, after the bombshell video was posted by the washington post, ivanka trump stayed mum on the latest storm to hit her father's campaign -- instead, she tweeted a link to her website, touting <u+201c>fast and easy fall dinners to add to your repertoire this season.<u+201d> democrats backing clinton on friday were of two minds about the new tape: some thought it was no revelation, that they had known he was a <u+201c>pig<u+201d> since day one. but others said that putting unwanted sexual advances on a married women was a death-knell for the already struggling republican nominee. <u+201c>donald trump said he could shoot someone on fifth avenue and get away with it,<u+201d> said one top democratic donor backing clinton. <u+201c>however, it doesn<u+2019>t appear he can get away with trying to sleep with someone else<u+2019>s wife.<u+201d> by bill scher by joshua zeitz by thomas wright by jack shafer
hillary clinton might just have won married women - politico
annie karni gabriel debenedetti nolan d. mccaskill burgess everett seung min kim jack shafer