democrat evan bayh (left) is tied with republican todd young (right) in an indiana senate poll. | ap photo by maggie severns 10/31/16 01:00 pm edt former democratic sen. evan bayh and republican rep. todd young are deadlocked in a new monmouth university poll on the indiana senate race, the first time an independent poll has found bayh with something besides a lead as he tries to make a senate comeback. bayh and young each attacted support from 45 percent of likely voters in the poll. both candidates have been targeted in a furious outside spending battle between the two parties, and the share of voters who view bayh unfavorably has crept up in recent months <u+2014> a sign of the impact of negative press and tv ads focused on bayh's private-sector career and residency questions following his senate retirement. story continued below libertarian candidate lucy brenton had 4 percent support in the new poll. bayh had advantages of 6 and 7 percentage points, respectively, in monmouth polls conducted earlier in october and in august. when bayh jumped into the race in july, multiple internal polls showed bayh with double-digit leads over young. but republicans decided to fully invest in the senate race anyway, and the percentage of voters with an unfavorable view of bayh has risen steadily in the three monmouth polls conducted since august. bayh<u+2019>s unfavorable rating was 19 percent in august, 26 percent in mid-october and 32 percent in late october. his favorable rating has fallen slightly, from 46 percent in august to 38 percent in the new poll. young<u+2019>s unfavorable ratings have gone up over time, too, from 15 percent in august to 24 percent in mid-october. the percentage of voters with a favorable view of young has hovered around 30 percent, while many voters still have no defined opinion of the three-term gop congressman. in the presidential race, republican donald trump<u+2019>s support has rebounded in indiana after shrinking in the wake of the "access hollywood" video release, the monmouth poll found. trump had support of 50 percent of likely voters or people who voted early, to 39 percent for democrat hillary clinton. libertarian gary johnson had 4 percent of the vote. part of the poll was conducted after news broke friday about the fbi looking into newly discovered clinton emails. some voters were surveyed on the news: 4 percent said the news had changed their mind about their vote, while 85 percent said there was no change and 11 percent either didn<u+2019>t know or had not heard the news. in the indiana governor<u+2019>s race, democrat john gregg leads lt. gov. eric holcomb by 48 percent to 42 percent, the poll found. monmouth university surveyed 402 likely voters for the poll from oct. 27-30. the margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. by michael grunwald by bill scher by thomas wright by joshua zeitz
poll: bayh, young tied in indiana senate race - politico
maggie severns michael grunwald