donald trump speaks at a campaign rally in florida. | ap photo/ evan vucci another poll released sunday shows the two in a statistical tie by sergio bustos 10/30/16 10:47 am edt in a turnabout for republican presidential candidate donald trump, a florida poll released sunday morning shows him ahead of democrat hillary clinton by four points, while sen. marco rubio has widened his lead over democratic challenger patrick murphy to nine points in the u.s. senate race. last month, the billionaire businessman trailed clinton by one point in a four-way race, but is now ahead of her 46-42 percent, according to a new york times upshot/siena college research institute . story continued below fading in this latest poll is libertarian candidate gary johnson. he<u+2019>s at 4 percent, down from 9 percent last month. green party candidate jill stein remained at 2 percent. in the senate race, rubio<u+2019>s lead over jupiter congressman grew from six points to nine points, 51-42 percent, the poll shows. a new nbc news/wall street journal/marist poll released sunday has clinton is in a statistical tie with trump in florida. that poll shows her edging him among likely voters, 45-44 percent. johnson came in at 5 percent, while stein got 2 percent. siena college poll director don levy said trump and clinton are each holding large leads among loyal party voters, but that independent voters had shifted over to his side in the last month. self-identified independents have moved from leaning to trump by two points to now giving the republican a twelve-point advantage as support for johnson has been cut in half,<u+201d> levy said. trump also extended his lead with men from 9 points to 18 points, and cut into clinton<u+2019>s advantage among women, trimming it from 10 to 7 points, the poll shows. trump leads in all areas of the state, except in the democratic vote-rich southeast, where clinton has widened an already large lead from 23 to 28 points. the presidential race in florida also shows a large racial divide among voters, said levy. the poll found that white voters prefer trump, 58-29 percent, but that clinton holds a commanding lead among african-american voters (81-11 percent) and among hispanic voters (59-30 percent). african-americans and hispanics combined comprise about 29 percent of all registered voters. <u+201c>both candidates continue to suffer from net negative favorability ratings but while clinton dropped a single point, trump has improved by seven points,<u+201d> levy said. he added that the race in the florida comes down to which major party candidate can get their base of supporters to the polls in early voting or on election day. <u+201c>while many floridians have already voted, the winner of this swing state will be decided by who succeeds in getting their remaining supporters to get to the polls,<u+201d> levy said. as of sunday morning, more than 3.5 million floridians had early voted by mail or in-person, according to the latest numbers published by state elections officials. republican voters were leading democratic voters by more than 23,000 votes. nearly 600,0000 no party affiliation voters had cast ballots. more than 1.3 million requested mail-in ballots had not been returned. the new york times upshot/siena college survey was conducted october 25-27, by telephone to 814 likely voters. the margin of error: 3.4 percentage points. updated at noon to include new nbc news/wall street journal/marist poll released sunday. marc caputo's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the sunshine state.
trump turnabout: poll shows he now leads clinton by 4 points in florida
sergio bustos