environmentr as well as supportive dooestic policies in lhe tleveloping countries to facilitate technology transfer and manpower hraining and development' This scenario lrou Id raise the GDp growtb rate of deveioplnq economles by I.02 percentage points, without any srgniflcanc effect on hhe GDP growth rate of the developed economies as compared with the baseline. ln the period 1985-1990 (see table 5) ' 23. Another promising scenario for ralsing the GDP grorth rate of tteveloping countries in the Iatter half of the 1980s i6 bhe scenario calling for mobllizatlon of resources, foreign and domestic' public and private, for increased investment in the tleveloping countries, tn nhich iL is assumed that the developed counlries nill expand their private direc! investment in aleveloping countrles by an additional o.is per cent of their GNP, starting in 1985' over and above the baseline projections, rrhile the developlng countries will also expand their investment in other developi.ng countries Oy O.S per cent of their GDP annually' The results are hlghly encouraging in that they $oultl raise the GDP growth rate of the developed countries by about 0.og percentage points for the perlod 1985-1990 over the projected baseline levels, tthile lncreaElng the GDP groYtth rate of developing countries by 0.7 percentage points. 24. Another scenarlo that significantly raises the GDP growth rates of developing counbries is the disarmament icenario, ln whiCh it is assumed that aU countries of the lrorld uould freeze their defence expendltures at the 1984 level, starting in t985. Fifty per cent of the financial resources released from auch a reduction in defence e*plnditure in the developed countrles (both markeh and centrally planned) are assumed to be channeletl into official develoPnent agsistance to the deveLoping countries, while the remaining 50 per cent woultl be uaed to imProve lhe ltelfare of the populauon of these countrie6' In the case of developing countries it is
**Analysis**
The text appears to be discussing scenarios for economic development, focusing on technology transfer, manpower training, and investment in developing countries. The scenarios are centered around economic growth rates, GDP, and the allocation of resources. The text also mentions disarmament and its potential impact on development.

**Category**
Economic development, International trade