Project and the Fugi clobal llacroecononic tbdel of Soka Universlty, $okyo. V These rpdels differ in their scope and atructure but provide outual checks on theresults of the projectlons and policy simulations. In evaluating gEowth prospects ' similar projections for hhe mediuo term by the World Bank IMF have also been takenlnto account. 2/ A. Trends ln the fir6t half of the L9806 y 57. In the trro decades betrdeen 1960 and t980, the ateveloplng countriee made adequate econoolc progresa, growing at 5.8 per cent per year between 1961 and l9?0 and a still acceptable 5.4 per cent between l97I and 1980. These rates vtere hlgher than thoae of bhe developed market economlee ln the same periods. 58. This achievement has been put in jeopardy by the ,orld recession Ehat began in 1980 (the strong economic performance of the gnlted States in 1984 notwithstanding). As table 10 show6, the story of the I980s is slow or negativegro th tempered by nild recovery in 1984. A fee bright spots include India and China among the poorer countries, EEst Aaian middle-lncooe economies and (though the trends are far from clear) the export-led resurgence of Brazil and a fen otber countries in 1984. For the rest of the developing world, the recent record has been bleak.A/ 40 /5Le Enqllsh Paqe 26 Table 10. ReaI norld outputr annual growth rates in cDp (Percentage change fron previous year) Country grouping 1980 t98l1982 1983198 5 1984 (forecast)Average t9s1-1985 Developed market econooles USA anal Canada Japan and AuEtralia Europe Developlng countries Africa East and South Asla West Asla Western Hemisphere Centrally planned economies a/ USSR and Eastern European countries Chi na l$or ld b/1.3 1.6 -o.2 2.t4.2 2.81.3 -0.1 3.4 1.3 1.9 -0.2 5. 0 6.6-2.9 -3.55.3 0.7 3.3 2.3 2.9 1.8 s.2 4.8 2.O I.5-0.2 2.5
**Analysis**
The text appears to be a macroeconomic analysis of developing countries, discussing trends in economic growth, recession, and forecasts. It also mentions specific countries and regions, such as India, China, and the United States. The language used is technical and economic, with terms like "GDP," "growth rates," and "recession." This suggests that the category that best fits this text is one related to economics.

**Category**
Economic development, International trade