?\5. A11 countries in the r,rorrd r,rould suffer a drastic reduction of fo?eign trade,entailing difficur-ties and economic losses. There are interactive effects ofdifferent kinds: (a) El-iminated countries may be naJor suppriers of exclusive nanufacturersof many t echnology-int ensive products and servl-es; (b) Export iterns are inputs in other countriesr export prod.ucts; (c) Downgraded foreign trade night cause shortages of essential ecluipment,semi-manufactures, spare parts, etc., vhich no lon€ler cou.ld be paid for, therebyreducing the dome st ic ourpur; (d) Decreased income per capita and increased unenn.roJnnent vould result inred'istribution of cons'rnption patierns and hence of demand., supply and productionpatterns in many countries. 2)+6, The alnihifation of the r'ajor financial and trading centres of the \"rorfd,such as Ner'r York, London, l.{oscov and other such cities, vould inevitably lead tothe destruction of the elaborate systen of international finance and trioe as it isnow constituted, thus elininating the orderly transfer of €Jood.s and services thatcharacteriz e internat ional economic relat ions. 247. Globally, the physical means of transport and conrluni.cation wodd probabfynot be too severefy affected. l"/Jren properly organized. after the initial confusion,remaining resources for shipling, land and air transnort and telecommunication sA/35 /392 English Anne x Page BB wou.l-d prove adequate for the reciuced post-war world trade' possibty even if some ki-d of internationaL re-Lief proqraruo"" l,r"ru instituted. By securing sDare parts frrr""gn icannitalism", it shoirld be possible to keep even advanced- aircraft functioning for severaf years. All ihis is under tire assrurption that oil (and ;;;;-;;;Gy t."o.,.""") r,rere available. However, the physica'l consequences of the war clo not include an additional deficit of oil in the wortd as a vholet as the United States inports oil while the USSR is currently slightly more than self-sustaining. d+8, In the Seneral hardship and unrest that l'rould foflow a nucl3ar lrar ' countries